Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.173776 3.548514 3.954299 4.427074 4.963678 5.554842 6.256863
2024-10-27 2.499909 2.970492 3.515596 4.196254 5.026978 6.012364 7.276368
2024-11-03 2.174914 2.705882 3.353259 4.205915 5.307158 6.691953 8.581618
2024-11-10 1.981794 2.560438 3.296399 4.309816 5.682596 7.496787 10.107893
2024-11-17 1.805270 2.407680 3.201746 4.337457 5.940316 8.151960 11.487482
2024-11-24 1.661535 2.278755 3.118408 4.360522 6.179161 8.788233 12.894476
2024-12-01 1.540041 2.165762 3.041504 4.377250 6.399703 9.407016 14.330904
2024-12-08 1.403370 2.017271 2.898120 4.278382 6.431356 9.736811 15.344859
2024-12-15 1.306316 1.917089 2.814393 4.257087 6.572621 10.239152 16.678794
2024-12-22 1.215822 1.818610 2.723670 4.213944 6.670307 10.674006 17.939145
2024-12-29 1.184622 1.807510 2.764282 4.379684 7.118170 11.721081 20.370501
2025-01-05 1.119391 1.737676 2.706361 4.378084 7.282856 12.299655 22.024263
2025-01-12 1.049112 1.656410 2.626616 4.337651 7.384599 12.791754 23.605808
2025-01-19 0.947930 1.517921 2.443467 4.105650 7.127374 12.614278 23.883511
2025-01-26 0.901084 1.466079 2.400558 4.113772 7.302527 13.247116 25.836522
2025-02-02 0.874540 1.446304 2.410030 4.214860 7.657161 14.252710 28.676928
2025-02-09 0.837679 1.406040 2.380664 4.241767 7.871896 15.005539 31.079441
2025-02-16 0.803040 1.367177 2.350671 4.264253 8.078616 15.760951 33.584251
2025-02-23 0.770119 1.329082 2.319130 4.280567 8.273244 16.509230 36.170461
2025-03-02 0.723704 1.263656 2.233172 4.184126 8.228380 16.746176 37.594827
2025-03-09 0.691192 1.221607 2.187603 4.163353 8.337742 17.323999 39.907827
2025-03-16 0.658212 1.176679 2.133635 4.121266 8.397413 17.796756 42.024518
2025-03-23 0.652713 1.183028 2.177807 4.282941 8.912708 19.352209 47.112175